Black Swan Problem

Black Swan Problem

Risk Management Strategies for a World of Wild Uncertainty

Jankensgard, Hakan

John Wiley & Sons Inc

05/2022

240

Dura

Inglês

9781119868149

15 a 20 dias

504

Descrição não disponível.
Prologue 3

Chapter 1: The Swans Revisited 7

The nature of randomness 8

The Moving Tail 11

The role of expectations 16

What makes us suckers? 20

The relativity of Black Swans 24

Meet the preppers 28

Chapter 2: Corporate Swans 31

The Board's perspective 31

Swans attack 33

Strategy Swans 35

The Swan within 39

The growth fetish 42

The fear factor 47

The Chief Executive Swan 49

Swans on the rise 52

Chapter 3: The Black Swan Problem 60

Tail risk and firm value 60

Understanding wipeouts 65

Strategy disruption 71

All you zombies 76

The affordability issue 78

The conundrum 84

Chapter 4: Greeting the Swan 90

Randomness redux 90

The roads not taken 98

Functional stupidity 102

The Swanmakers 108

On tools and models 112

A Swan radar for the Board 116

Chapter 5: Taming the Swan 122

Drawing the line 122

Distance to wipeout 129

Risk capital 131

Stress testing 140

The exit option 146

Resilience vs endurance 150

Quantitative models 155

Liquidity is king 162

Chapter 6: Catching the Swan 166

Antifragility 167

Restoring the true path 170

Buying on the cheap 173

Opportunity capital 176

Flight to safety 182

Risk as strategy 187

Chapter 7: Riding the Swan 192

Risk shifting 192

A beautiful strategy 199

Fuel for growth 203

Narcissism redeemed 208

A tail of two companies 211

End of the ride 215

Swans to the rescue? 217

Epilogue 221
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<p>Risk management; situational risk management; operational risk; operational risk management; black swan events; pandemic risk; organizational risk; operational risk mitigation; low-probability risks; organizational resilience</p>